  {"id":51722,"date":"2026-07-14T08:00:00","date_gmt":"2026-07-14T06:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.uni.lu\/fstm-en\/?post_type=news&#038;p=51722"},"modified":"2026-07-20T14:53:06","modified_gmt":"2026-07-20T12:53:06","slug":"simulating-an-entire-countrys-daily-commute-and-why-a-supercomputer-helps","status":"publish","type":"news","link":"https:\/\/www.uni.lu\/fstm-en\/news\/simulating-an-entire-countrys-daily-commute-and-why-a-supercomputer-helps\/","title":{"rendered":"Simulating an entire country&#8217;s daily commute and why a supercomputer helps"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<section class=\"wp-block-unilux-blocks-free-section section\"><div class=\"container xl:max-w-screen-xl\">\n<p>Every morning, people across Luxembourg make the same kinds of decisions: Should I take the train? Drive? Catch the bus? These individual choices, multiplied across an entire population, shape whether roads clog, trains run full, and new infrastructure pays off. Understanding how transport systems behave, how they can be simulated, and improved is the research topic of the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.uni.lu\/fstm-en\/research-groups\/transport-research-group\/\">Transport Research Group (MobiLab)<\/a> of<a href=\"https:\/\/www.uni.lu\/fstm-en\/people\/francesco-viti\/\"> Prof. Francesco Viti<\/a> and his former colleague <a href=\"https:\/\/orbilu.uni.lu\/profile?uid=50043205\">Federico Bigi<\/a>.  <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>High Performance Computing plays a key role in this work. The team uses advanced computational tools. One common approach treats people as independent &#8220;agents&#8221; in a simulated world, making decisions, responding to their environment, and interacting with everyone else simultaneously. The result is a mobility Digital Twin of the Grand-Duchy of Luxembourg. <\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-unilux-blocks-spacer is-spacer-size-md\"><\/div>\n\n\n<h2 class=\"has-text-align-left wp-block-unilux-blocks-heading\"        id=\"a-country-in-100-zones\"\n    >\nA country in 100 zones<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>To&nbsp;create a simulation of Luxembourg\u2019s mobility network, the country gets divided into up to 100 zones. For each pair of zones, they&nbsp;determine&nbsp;how many people travel between them and how long those journeys take. This creates&nbsp;an origin-destination matrix, which is essentially a large table of all itineraries.&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Based on these and other publicly available data, they then create with their model a synthetic population which is representative of the real population. It consists of moving virtual residents, each with their own travel patterns, preferences, and constraints.  <\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"has-text-align-left wp-block-unilux-blocks-heading\"        id=\"asking-what-if\"\n    >\nAsking &#8220;what if?&#8221;<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Simulations are often used to play&nbsp;through&nbsp;scenarios that are hard or impossible to create in real life. The same applies to the mobility sector.&nbsp;By tweaking the&nbsp;conditions inside the simulation, researchers can test&nbsp;various&nbsp;scenarios:&nbsp;What&nbsp;changed&nbsp;after&nbsp;public transport became free for the public in Luxembourg? What is the impact of a major concert&nbsp;at Rockhal&nbsp;on traffic?&nbsp;Where should a new tram line be added?&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>These are exactly the questions planners and policymakers need answered before committing to expensive infrastructure or pricing reforms. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"has-text-align-left wp-block-unilux-blocks-heading\"        id=\"when-the-bus-doesnt-wait-for-the-train\"\n    >\nWhen the bus doesn&#8217;t wait for the train<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>The MobiLab team also addresses problems that are familiar to anyone who has missed a connecting service: poor synchronisation between transport modes. The research focused on a rural on-demand shuttle, which is a small bus that picks up and drops off passengers when requested. The idea was to investigate whether this approach is more efficient than the existing bus with a fixed schedule, slightly misaligned with train arrivals. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Across multiple simulation runs with different assumed passenger behaviours, the findings showed that the fixed-schedule service was failing to capture around half of its potential ridership. By switching to a demand-responsive model, over 90 percent of potential passengers could be served. The simulation helped to study a problem that would have taken years of real-world data to diagnose. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"has-text-align-left wp-block-unilux-blocks-heading\"        id=\"from-academia-to-industry\"\n    >\nFrom academia to industry<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>The same simulation framework that underpins this academic work is now finding commercial applications. A spin-off project from the 糖心Vlog is using this technology to build &#8220;digital twins&#8221; that stakeholders can query in real time to support operational decisions. Instead of relying on expensive external data providers or static planning reports, clients can run their own scenarios and get answers tailored to their specific context. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This shift from lab to market has been enabled partly by access to the<a href=\"https:\/\/www.uni.lu\/research-en\/core-facilities\/hpc\/\"> high-performance computing infrastructure<\/a> at the University, providing the necessary data for the enterprise. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"has-text-align-left wp-block-unilux-blocks-heading\"        id=\"why-a-supercomputer\"\n    >\nWhy a supercomputer?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Keeping track of a country\u2019s transport network, with&nbsp;all its individuals navigating the digital world,&nbsp;interacting with traffic and one another, is extraordinarily demanding. On a standard desktop computer, a single simulation run takes somewhere between 15 and&nbsp;20 days, hoping that the computer&nbsp;doesn&#8217;t&nbsp;shut down.&nbsp;Federico Bigi, a former member of the MobiLab group,&nbsp;even&nbsp;mentioned&nbsp;that&nbsp;the computational load&nbsp;was&nbsp;so intense that one&nbsp;normal&nbsp;computer&nbsp;partially&nbsp;broke at some point.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The simulation software demands both significant memory and many parallel processors simultaneously. High-performance computing (HPC) clusters address both constraints (<a href=\"https:\/\/www.uni.lu\/fstm-en\/news\/powering-discovery-supercomputing-at-uni-lu\/\">see also the previous article on HPC<\/a>). On the HPC infrastructure available in Luxembourg, simulation time drops to roughly four days or less. A desperately needed reduction and guaranteed system stability, especially given that fresh simulations are needed on a roughly monthly basis to reflect updated conditions. <\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-unilux-blocks-spacer is-spacer-size-sm\"><\/div>\n\n\n<p>What is clear is that this kind of research was simply not possible a decade ago. The combination of sufficiently large HPC clusters, mature modelling software, and rich mobility data has only recently converged to make nationwide transport simulation tractable. The digital twin of Luxembourg, running on a supercomputer, asking &#8220;what if?&#8221;-scenarios on behalf of planners and commuters alike, is a perfect example of how simulations powered by HPC help improve our everyday life in perhaps unexpected ways. <\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-unilux-blocks-spacer is-spacer-size-md\"><\/div>\n\n\n<h2 class=\"has-text-align-left wp-block-unilux-blocks-heading\"        id=\"author\"\n    >\nAuthor<\/h2>\n\n\n<ul class=\"flex flex-wrap mt-24 -mx-16  wp-block-unilux-blocks-free-content-card\">\n    <li class=\"w-full sm:w-1\/2 lg:w-1\/3 px-16  wp-block-unilux-blocks-free-content-card-item\">\n    <div class=\"ulux-card card-people bg-theme\">\n        <div class=\"ulux-card__container card__container\">\n                        <div class=\"ulux-card__visual wp-block-unilux-blocks-free-content-card-item-visual\">\n    \n<div class=\"wp-block-unilux-blocks-image-video-wrapper\">\n    <figure class=\"wp-block-dev4-reusable-blocks-image  object-fit--cover\">\n    \n<img decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-block-image unilux-custom-image-block\"\n                alt=\"\"\n            src=\"https:\/\/www.uni.lu\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/4\/2026\/07\/20142251\/Tobias-henkes.jpeg\"\n                srcset=\"https:\/\/www.uni.lu\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/4\/2026\/07\/20142251\/Tobias-henkes-300x300.jpeg 300w, https:\/\/www.uni.lu\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/4\/2026\/07\/20142251\/Tobias-henkes-150x150.jpeg 150w, https:\/\/www.uni.lu\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/4\/2026\/07\/20142251\/Tobias-henkes.jpeg 400w\"\n                style=\"object-position: 56.00% 25.00%; font-family: &quot;object-fit: cover; object-position: 56.00% 25.00%;&quot;; aspect-ratio: 4\/3; object-fit: cover; width: 100%;\"\n        loading=\"lazy\"\n\/>    <\/figure><\/div><\/div><div class=\"ulux-card__body wp-block-unilux-blocks-free-content-card-item-body\">\n    \n<div class=\"card__activity wp-block-unilux-blocks-plain-text\"><\/div>\n<h3 class=\"card__name has-text-align-left wp-block-unilux-blocks-heading\"        id=\"tobias-henkes\"\n    >\nTobias Henkes<\/h3>\n\n<div class=\"card__organization wp-block-unilux-blocks-plain-text\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"card__function wp-block-unilux-blocks-plain-text\">Doctoral researcher in Theoretical Physics at the 糖心Vlog<\/div>\n<div class=\"card__interest wp-block-unilux-blocks-plain-text\"><\/div><div class=\"ulux-card__link-wrapper card__link wp-block-unilux-blocks-simple-cta\">\n    <a\n        href=\"https:\/\/www.linkedin.com\/in\/tobias-henkes-5a934a281\/\"\n        class=\"link-text link-text--icon ulux-card__link link-text link-absolute\"\n        target=\"_blank\"\n    >\n        <span class=\"link-text__body\">\n            <span class=\"link-text__name\">Learn more<\/span>\n        <\/span>\n        <svg aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\" class=\"icon icon-outline icon--external-link \"><use xlink:href=\"https:\/\/www.uni.lu\/wp-content\/themes\/unilux-theme\/assets\/images\/icons\/icons-outline.svg#icon--external-link\"><\/use><\/svg>    <\/a>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>        <\/div>\n    <\/div>\n<\/li><\/ul>\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-unilux-blocks-spacer is-spacer-size-sm\"><\/div>\n\n<section class=\"section section wp-block-unilux-blocks-quick-link-discover-section py-0\">\n    <div class=\"container xl:max-w-screen-xl\">\n        \n<h2 class=\"has-text-align-left wp-block-unilux-blocks-heading\"        id=\"learn-more\"\n    >\nLearn more<\/h2>\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-unilux-blocks-quick-link-discover quick-link-list\">\n<li class=\"wp-block-unilux-blocks-quick-link-discover-item\">\n    <a\n                    href=\"https:\/\/www.uni.lu\/fstm-en\/news\/powering-discovery-supercomputing-at-uni-lu\/\"\n                    class=\"quick-link\"\n            target=\"\"\n    >\n            <span class=\"quick-link__container\">\n                <span class=\"quick-link__text\">\n                    Supercomputing at Uni.lu                 <\/span>\n                <svg aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\" class=\"icon icon-outline icon--arrow-right \"><use xlink:href=\"https:\/\/www.uni.lu\/wp-content\/themes\/unilux-theme\/assets\/images\/icons\/icons-outline.svg#icon--arrow-right\"><\/use><\/svg>            <\/span>\n    <\/a>\n<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li class=\"wp-block-unilux-blocks-quick-link-discover-item\">\n    <a\n                    href=\"https:\/\/www.uni.lu\/research-en\/core-facilities\/hpc\/\"\n                    class=\"quick-link\"\n            target=\"\"\n    >\n            <span class=\"quick-link__container\">\n                <span class=\"quick-link__text\">\n                    High-performance computing (HPC)                <\/span>\n                <svg aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\" class=\"icon icon-outline icon--arrow-right \"><use xlink:href=\"https:\/\/www.uni.lu\/wp-content\/themes\/unilux-theme\/assets\/images\/icons\/icons-outline.svg#icon--arrow-right\"><\/use><\/svg>            <\/span>\n    <\/a>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n    <\/div>\n<\/section><\/div><\/section>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"","protected":false},"author":325,"featured_media":51723,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"featured_image_focal_point":{"x":0.5,"y":0.51},"show_featured_caption":false,"ulux_newsletter_groups":"","uluxPostTitle":"","uluxPrePostTitle":"","_trash_the_other_posts":false,"_price":"","_stock":"","_tribe_ticket_header":"","_tribe_default_ticket_provider":"","_tribe_ticket_capacity":"0","_ticket_start_date":"","_ticket_end_date":"","_tribe_ticket_show_description":"","_tribe_ticket_show_not_going":false,"_tribe_ticket_use_global_stock":"","_tribe_ticket_global_stock_level":"","_global_stock_mode":"","_global_stock_cap":"","_tribe_rsvp_for_event":"","_tribe_ticket_going_count":"","_tribe_ticket_not_going_count":"","_tribe_tickets_list":"[]","_tribe_ticket_has_attendee_info_fields":false},"news-category":[8],"news-topic":[20],"organisation":[31,29],"authorship":[325],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v22.3 (Yoast SEO v22.3) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Simulating an entire country&#039;s daily commute and why a supercomputer helps - FSTM news I 糖心Vlog<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Every morning, people across Luxembourg make the same kinds of decisions: Should I take the train? 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